ALERT: HOW TO OVERCOME THE POSSIBLE CRISES OF THE NEXT FIVE YEARS.

The way to start a good day? Always with a good Coffee. Of course, whether you drink Coffee or your favorite beverage—mine is Coffee. Last week we addressed the theme of Planetary Education, and the latest post on our Blog was about Gender Inequality Indicators. That was a quick summary of the whole situation. In today’s post, when I went to choose the theme, there was no doubt: I thought it best to deal with a substantial issue for all of us—possible crises up to 2030, starting from 2025.

In five years, we may face several types of crises, sustained by strong indicators. Among them, for example, are Armed Conflicts, the Global Economy, Climate and the Environment, Disinformation, and Social Megatrends. To give you an idea of the numbers, about 25% of experts point to an immediate increase in the risk of Conflicts, with a tendency to grow until 2030, due to geopolitical instability, forced migrations, and high military spending.

Regarding the Global Economy, forecasts suggest a trend toward a Prolonged Recession Risk, with rising Unemployment, declining Investments, and an expansion of inequality. Reality points to a projected growth of only 2.3%, according to the UN. But this is not the biggest problem. A major issue that could trigger crises is Disinformation, identified as a short‑term risk according to last year’s data—2025. The motivation comes from the expansion of AI and social networks, which foster an environment of Political Polarization and the consequent erosion of institutional trust.

Another point at stake in this game of crises for the next five years are Social Megatrends: population growth and urbanization are seen as accelerating indicators, producing enormous pressure on drinking water, energy, and food. The expected impacts are Global Social Tensions and New Migration Flows.

With this, we can already say that the society of progress is on the verge of regression—an ambivalent situation that rewards pessimists with more points than optimists. Challenges exist. In Geopolitics, escalating tensions may generate new regional conflicts, and with a slowdown to 2.3%, this fact becomes even clearer: we need to think of alternatives. Moreover, the trend of Disinformation is gaining significant social fabric, which could literally explode international cooperation and absolutely hinder coordinated responses in the International Environment.

These points show that there is a convergence toward crises, and that it is still necessary to STRENGTHEN international cooperation, technological innovation, and sustainability policies. It is also necessary to admit more decision‑making based on the Millennium Parameter—Interest = Collectivity—so that we can overcome this dire scenario of futuristic instability. We must stop, breathe, and each of us do our part to overcome barriers, leaving aside the negative aspects mentioned, for a better future for all of us, especially for Our Children, who are arriving in the world and bear no responsibility for dealing with delicate issues such as those cited.